Stats shows that American Dream is Pending for a lot of Indians!

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6,946 I-140 applications are in Pending status based on the data published by USCIS. This publication include a decade worth of data from 2009 till the end of 2019.

Interestingly this publication has 3 pages, one page of summary and dedicated pages for India and China stats. Here are some visualizations I had created to highlight some of the insights for all the applications filed for Indians from 2009 till 2019.

I-140 Applications by Status by Year

Referring to the above visualization, in 2019, it is clear that percentage of applications gone in to Pending status jumped significantly compared to 2018.

Number of I-140 applications filed in EB1,EB2 and EB3 Categories.

This visualization highlights the gap between each category going all the way back to 2009. As we can see applications filed in EB2 picked up significantly from 2009 and peaked in 2016 reaching a high of 50K+ applications and at the same time EB1 and EB3 maintained study volumes. This does highlight a trend if we look at the applications by category.

Majority of the I-140 applications are filed in EB2 Category
I-140 Application Status

Approvals seems to reflect different trend by year impacted by various factors and the impact of updated USCIS policies with no significant variations in Denials and Pending status. This seems to be inline with the expected trends till 2018 and 2019 is totally a different story. To understand the spike we need to look at trends in individual categories closely.

EB1

EB1 seems to maintain study Approvals, Denials and Pending statuses till 2014 with variations in Approvals till 2017 and significant drop in Approvals in 2018 and 2019.

In EB3, applications in Pending status skyrocketed in 2019 with almost half of the total number, 3,282 applications. This equals to 47% of total applications in Pending status.

EB2

One interesting fact about EB2 is, even though there is a clear spike in Pending applications, Approvals seems to maintain the trend compared to EB1.

Applications in EB2 equals to 43% of total applications in Pending status.

EB3

Compared to EB1 and EB2, Pending applications in EB3 seems to show a different perspective. First, Approvals are going up and compared to 2018, in 2019 applications in Pending status seems to go up significantly too.

10% applications in eb3 category are in Pending status.

At this point it is not clear on how these Pending applications are handled and as of today there is no policy or statement issued by USCIS. First quarter of 2020 data may yield some clues but we will have to wait and see the trends.

Disclaimer: All these visualizations are based on the data published by USCIS in a PDF format. To generate visualizations in this article data from PDF is exported to database. If you notice any data errors please do reach out to me at neoctv@gmail.com.

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